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June 17, 2008

Is 350 The Magic Number?

Seems so. That's the number of parts per million of CO2 that the planet can handle reasonably safely. We are not there. We are somewhere above that number. The higher we go, the more stress on the planet - more global warming, more Al Gore movies, more apocalyptic scenes from the bible...

Seriously, there is a site that is dedicated to educating the population and creating pressure on thought leaders around the world to bring that number down. Bill McKibben and his colleagues are serious people with the hard data of science and the soft power of persuasion backing them up.

Take a look HERE at 350.org. Help get that number down.

September 4, 2007

CA Electoral Vote Initiative: A Teapot in a Tempest?

teapot.jpgRepublican political operatives linked in this Forbes article to the notorious "Swift Boating" campaign in the 2004 elections are attempting to put an initiative on California's June ballot that would all but guarantee a Republican victory in next year's presidential election.

If the initiative were to pass and be implemented, the electoral college votes would be allocated by congressional district, rather than the current "winner take all" method currently in place. The result - given how the state has been gerrymandered over the years - would mean an electoral vote swing toward the red side of Tim Russert's whiteboard equal to Ohio's votes.

Only one small problem... the US Constitution.

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August 27, 2007

Security vs Intrusion -- So Where Is the Line?

Thumbnail image for Sikh_images.jpgEarlier this month the TSA changes the security rules yet again. This time concerning head coverings. Here is the description of the new search procedures the TSA has now implemented:

On August 4th 2007, TSA implemented revisions to its screening procedures for head coverings. TSA does not conduct ethnic or religious profiling, and employs multiple checks and balances to ensure profiling does not happen.

All members of the traveling public are permitted to wear head coverings (whether religious or not) through the security checkpoints. The new standard procedures subject all persons wearing head coverings to the possibility of additional security screening, which may include a pat-down search of the head covering. Individuals may be referred for additional screening if the security officer cannot reasonably determine that the head area is free of a detectable threat item. If the issue cannot be resolved through a pat-down search, the individual will be offered the opportunity to remove the head covering in a private screening area.

TSA's security procedures, including the procedures for screening head coverings, are designed to ensure the security of the traveling public. These procedures are part of TSA's multi-layered approach to security screening.

So what is the problem? Well for one, how can this new procedure not have as a practical impact the targeting of members of the Sikh community who wear turbans as part of their religious and cultural identity? Adding insult to injury, the TSA specifically mentioned Sikh turbans as examples of headcoverings that will trigger heightened screening. Furthermore, these procedures were implemented secretly without consulting members of religious and cultural organizations who are being affected by these intrusive measures.

For another, let's be real... if the metal detection equipment is at all adequate, then there is little chance of "headcovered travelers" carrying weapons on to the planes, so there must be some concern that these travelers may be carrying an inordinate amount of liquids under those coverings. That's a lot of liquid!

Again, these types of overly intrusive procedures serve to increase the number of false positives, while also increasing the amount of irritation, inconvenience, and in some cases needless humiliation of lawful, loyal citizens.

When is enough enough? When will these tradeoffs be calculated, and Americans see that many of these security procedures cause us to be less safe and less free.

Here is a petition directed to Michael Chertoff, head of Homeland Security expressing concern for these new screening procedures.Sikh_images.jpg

August 9, 2007

Meanwhile out in California...

While pundits have been commenting on "The Horse Race" - Who is winning? Who is losing? What about Hilary's jacket? Is Obama black enough? Will Fred run? The list is unfortunately endless. Meanwhile out in California...

Very quietly a prominent lawyer in Sacramento applied to have an initiative placed on next year's ballot that, if passed, will allocate electoral votes by congressional district, rather than the current "winner take all" situation.

What would this mean in next year's presidential election? Most likely it would mean a Republican victory in a close national election. Why? Because as Hendrik Hertzberg writes in his piece, Votescam, in The New Yorker Magazine that this would give the minority party (in this case the Republicans) "an unearned, Ohio-size gift of electoral votes."

The Orwellian title for this initiative is the Presidential Election Reform Act, and it is sponsored by "Californians for Equal Representation". Innocuous as the name of the organization sounds, it is an eerily familiar ruse - there is no such organization. The address on the letterhead is the same as the law firm that represents the California Republican Party.

Finally, and perhaps most importantly, because the primary date has been moved up to early February, the usual election day in June will probably be little noted and poorly attended with few ballots cast. This stealth approach would clearly advantage the minority party.

Hertzberg concludes thusly:

California Initiative No. 07-0032 is an audacious power play packaged as a step forward for democratic fairness. It's the lotusland equivalent of Tom DeLay's 2003 midterm redistricting in Texas, except with a sweeter smell, a better disguise, and larger stakes. And the only way Californians will reject it is if they have a chance to think about it first.

August 3, 2007

"The time for more time has passed."

The time for more time has passed.

In a recent posting entitled Déjà Vu on The Huffington Post, Randy Beers, president of the National Security Network, a progressive think-tank focusing on foreign policy and politics, has presented on of the most cogent analyses of he present situation in Iraq, why the present military strategy there will not work, and what new strategy just might.

Here is a sampling:

Unable in this environment to foresee what the United States and the international community will do next, Iraqis are choosing the proximate security of their faction over any broader vision. Unable to depend on the central government, the United States now aligns itself with local militias in hopes of achieving local success, but, in reality, merely reinforcing factionalism and undermining the national government we profess to defend.

As a young lieutenant, I was taught that a failing strategy demanded alternatives. Committing one's forces to costly frontal assaults in the Iraqi quagmire is better replaced by a strategy allowing flexibility and economy of force. The time for more time has passed. It's time for Iraq's neighbors to join the political reconciliation process in Iraq or, at minimum, to contain the violence to Iraq. It's time for serious U.S. involvement in the Middle East Peace Process. And it's time to focus on the real Al Qaeda along the Pak-Afghan border. But only beginning the U.S. disengagement from Iraq will allow such alternatives to prosper.

Once again we are reminded that one of the most common reasons for continuing ot choose what is not working is the idea of a "sunk cost", and that hte only way out of that rtap is to realize that those costs are indeed "sunk", so they should no longer be part of any decision-making caculus.

July 24, 2007

One Key to Airline Security - Watch Those RONs!

airplane.gifQuestion: What is the most vulnerable aspect of airline and airport security? Answer: RONs

You probably were not expecting that answer, but there it is. That and many more crucial elements of our extremely faulty airport security system are discusses here in an e-mail transmission to Patterico from Dave Mackett President, Airline Pilots Security Alliance

This is a wonderful example of how critical thinking seems more vital than ever, and perhaps rarer than ever as well.

July 6, 2007

America's Skewed Worldview

Thomas Klau, a writer for the Financial Times Deutschland, has an interesting view on how the impact of American’s view of the world through the prism of the Founders may be distorting not only how we see the world, but how we see ourselves as well.

The title of the article is: ‘Cult of the Founding Fathers' is Obscuring America’s Worldview. Here is one prominent bullet:

This allows the United States to persist in describing itself as the freest country on earth, although by nearly every objective criterion, most European nations are more liberal and free than the United States.
This would make a wonderful topic for a dialogue or a Socrates Café. The English translation is here.

June 6, 2007

The Insidiousness of Censorship

In present-day China censorship is all above board. The state controls the media, so the state controls the message. In the west, especially in the US of late, censorship is more subtle, and so perhaps more insidious.

Last night the local PBS station ran Bill Moyers’ documentary, Buying the War, that was first aired in April. One of the more compelling themes, or subplots, that ran throughout the program was the amount of fear that now exists in American newsrooms – both in television and newspapers. This fear has led to a kind of self-censorship that has cast a cloud over American journalism.

Given enough time censorship leads to a kind of dissociative disorder in society. A kind of amnesia that develops over time. It works something like this: what was so no longer is so. And what is the evidence that it is not so? Because if it were so, then the media would have written and talked about it. And when we search the media archives, we find little, if any, discussion of what was so.

American journalism still seems to have some self-correcting aspects to it that allow for “facts” to emerge now and then. Many of the lies and deceptions that the current administration perpetrated on the American citizenry are gradually coming to light. The aluminum tubes, the WMDs, the Niger yellowcake are now firmly embedded in the cultural memory. Of course there is no way to know what other deceptions and exaggerations are still festering beneath the surface.

The full impact of censorship may only be learned over time. As younger generations begin to move up in the media consumption food chain, they may be completely unaware of the world that immediately preceded them – the world that the previous generation called “current events”. News “black holes” eventually can lead to a revisionist view of recent history, and that bodes ill for the generations that follow.

The ultimate irony about censorship is that it can lead to inadvertent revelation. A case in point involves a recent classified ad that appeared in a newspaper in China. The small ad was a tribute/memorial to the victims of the Tiananmen Square massacre a generation ago. As it happened the young copyreader was a new hire, just recently graduated from college. She did not know about the massacre because of the news blackout and the central government’s censorship policy.

When a people attempt to keep secrets from themselves, such secrets have a way of bubbling up in unpredictable ways.

We can only hope that some of the “unattractive facts” that were suppressed in the run up to the war in Iraq may also bubble in equally unpredictably ways, but in a more timely manner.

May 10, 2007

New Richardson 4 Pres Ad Worth a Look

While we are still hoping against hope that Al Gore comes to his senses (or loses them) and runs for office, this new Richardson ad is still fabulous. It is concise, full of useful information about his fitness to lead, and very funny.

Check it out here.

May 9, 2007

Another Republican Crosses the Line

Last night, during a live radio interview on The Bernie Ward Program in San Francisco, Pete McCloskey, former moderate Republican representative from Northern California, said he had officially severed his ties to the party by registering as a Democrat for the first time in his adult life. McCloskey joined Congress in 1967 along with Bush I and a few other Republican moderates. He was an important voice of moderation in the party until he left office in 1982.

In a wide-ranging interview McCloskey spoke of the similarities that led to our involvement in both the Vietnam War and the War in Iraq – the lies and general lack of congressional oversight to name just two. And just like Vietnam he called the Iraqi occupation “impossible”, and that the current occupation, “…creates more terrorists than we kill.” He added that the Bush II administration’s foreign policy, “has been a disaster.”

McCloskey then spoke about his early years as a Republican. He joined the party at age 21 in 1948. He said. “ We were the party of the environment, the party of civil rights, the party of a woman’s right of choice… We believed in small government and a balanced budget. And not one of those things is the tenet of the current Republican Party. The party that came in with Newt Gingrich in 1994 completely changed the principles that were followed from Dwight Eisenhower to Gerald Ford and to Ronald Reagan.”

He then when on to present a laundry list of policy changes from government intrusion into private lives of women, to renunciation of international treaties that “are repugnant to this administration, and have “hamstrung the concept of international cooperation… all these things caused me to cross the line", he remarked.

When the Republican Party starts losing life-long moderates like McCloskey, they also have lost their identity as a party that can represent significant parts of the population. Regardless of the name, it is now the Conservative Party. And its future is in peril.

The question now is: How will the Democratic Party act over the next few years, if and when it becomes the only domestic superpower on the nation’s political landscape?

Anyway, for now welcome to the party, Pete.

March 18, 2007

Hard Time – Soft Time

Recidivism or Redemption

As a body ages, the arteries often tend to harden. This is especially true for physical bodies that have become sedentary over time. Is the same true for a body politic that has begun to age and ossify? Our culture seems to be hardening by the day. And just as it is so in the physical body, perhaps the hardening of our culture is life threatening as well.

Such thoughts came to mind the other evening during a screening of the Discovery Channel’s documentary, Lock Up, Lock Down, at the offices of the American Friends’ Services Committee (AFSC) in Philadelphia. The film contrasted two prisons – the San Francisco County Jail, and the Ohio State "Supemax" Prison in Youngstown.

In one section of the San Francisco jail there is a dormitory housing sixty inmates. These inmates participate in RSVP (Resolve to Stop Violence Project) anywhere from ten to fourteen hours a day in various types of therapeutic experiences. There are group sessions where inmates have the opportunity to deconstruct their own violent behaviors. Victims of violent crime also come to meet with them to talk about how violence has affected their lives. In a way it is constant, unrelenting “soft time” where these men are immersed in an alien sea of emotions until they can swim for themselves.

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